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While the Preakness Stakes may be the shortest race of the Triple Crown, the mile and three-sixteenths distance will still be longer than most of the field will regularly have to handle again.
Aside from the three horses returning from the 1 1/4-mile Kentucky Derby, the Preakness shapes up to be the longest race this field will have faced to date. This leaves the remaining seven entries with something to prove.
Until those horses reveal their ability on the racetrack, one way to help indicate who might excel is to examine the average winning distances of the progeny from each entry’s sire and dam. While not a foolproof method to assess distance capabilities, comparing those numbers with others in the field can be helpful when forming an opinion on a longer race.
For example, if a stallion’s AWD is 7.75 furlongs, then the average distance of a race won by one of his offspring is between 7 1/2 furlongs and one mile. An average foal by that sire should be more likely to handle a route of ground than one by a sire with a lower AWD number.
Taking those figures into account, two newcomers to the Triple Crown races stand out from the rest of the field.
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